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2024-12-14 05:32:59

CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.Guojin Securities Humanoid Robot 2025 Strategy: 0-1 volume is just around the corner, and Huawei overweight helps the rise of domestic chains. Guojin Securities said that Huawei overweight has become a new direction, which is expected to bring deterministic AI technology to domestic robot manufacturers and help domestic OEMs accelerate their rise. In 25 years or the first year of commercial mass production of humanoid robots, the domestic and international industries have resonated, and the humanoid robot industry has ushered in a period of rapid development and has plate investment opportunities. It is suggested to focus on the screw, reducer, torque sensor and domestic robot.Yongtai energy ranked first in the exposure of leveraged capital stocks. On the last trading day (December 10th), a total of 2,076 stocks were bought by financing, and 28 stocks had a net purchase amount of more than 100 million yuan. Oriental Fortune ranked first in the net purchase of financing, with a net purchase of 388 million yuan; The top net purchases of financing were Zhongji Xuchuang, Iflytek and Wanxing Technology, with net purchases of 316 million yuan, 297 million yuan and 265 million yuan respectively. Sellers, Luxshare and Gree Electric were among the top sellers, with the amounts of 369 million yuan, 207 million yuan and 181 million yuan respectively.


Sora concept stocks fell, Huayang Lianzhong fell, Easy Point World, Fushi Holdings fell more than 8%, and Wanxing Technology fell nearly 5%.Trump announced a number of latest nominations, including the Deputy Secretary of State. On December 10, local time, US President-elect Trump announced a number of latest nominations on his social media platform. Trump announced the nomination of Ed Martin as the next chief of staff of the White House Office of Management and Budget, Dan Bishop, a congressman from North Carolina, as the deputy director of the budget of the White House Office of Management and Budget, and Jacob Helberg as the next deputy secretary of state responsible for economic growth, energy and environment. Nominate Mark Meador as a member of the US Federal Trade Commission, Kimberly Guilfoyle as the next US ambassador to Greece, and Tom Barrack as the next US ambassador to Turkey.Galaxy Securities: Float glass continued to support the market at the end of the year, and the china galaxy Securities Research Institute said that it was urgent to support the demand for float glass terminals in November, but the middle and lower reaches mainly digested the previous inventory, and the purchasing enthusiasm declined. In the context of the contradiction between supply and demand in the industry, the production capacity has been significantly reduced, and the inventory pressure of float glass enterprises has improved. Enterprises have a strong willingness to push up, and the price of float glass rose slightly in November. The follow-up rush demand will continue to support the market demand, but due to the high inventory of some large manufacturers, it is expected that it will be difficult to form strong support for the price, and the follow-up price will remain stable.


China's one-year interest rate swap hit a four-year low, and China's one-year interest rate swap (IRS) fell sharply this week, falling below the 1.50% mark for the first time since 2020. The data shows that the one-year interest rate swap was still around 1.50% at the beginning of Wednesday, and once fell to 1.4825% in the previous session, setting a new low since May 2020.Liquor stocks fluctuated and rebounded at the daily limit of Huangtai liquor industry, while liquor stocks fluctuated and rebounded at the daily limit of Huangtai liquor industry. Rock shares, gold seed wine, Yingjia tribute wine, Laobaigan wine, Jinhui wine, Shede wine industry and so on followed up.The concept of Shanghai's state-owned enterprise reform was active at the beginning to create an international daily limit. The concept of Shanghai's state-owned enterprise reform was active at the beginning, creating an international and Fudan Fuhua daily limit, and Kaiye, First Medicine, Shibei High-tech and Xujiahui followed suit.

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